Friday, May 28, 2010

Idris Jala: M’sia must cut subsidies, debt by 2019 or risk bankruptcy

KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia will be bankrupt by 2019 if it does not cut subsidies and rein in borrowings, said Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department Datuk Seri Idris Jala on Thursday.

He said that Malaysia's debt would rise to 100 percent of GDP by 2019 from the current 54% if it did not cut subsidies.

“We do not want to be another Greece,” he said when officiating the Subsidy Lab Open Day here to receive feedback from the public on subsidies.

Some of the recommendations of the subsidy rationalisation lab:

- Reduction of gas subsidy, resulting in an increase in electricity tariffs. However, most households will not be affected as the move will only affect those consuming more than 200kWh.

- Toll rates to increase in mid-2010 as per concession agreement except for highways without alternative toll-free routes.

-Outpatient treatment at public hospitals to be increased from RM1 to RM3. In-patient treatment will also increase, depending on the wards (Class One, Two or Three), from between RM3 and RM80, to between RM6 to RM160.

-Text book loan scheme and tuition subsidy aid to be abolished. Students will also have to pay for public examination fees.

-Foreign students will pay full fees at public universities.

-Local undergraduates and postgraduates to pay more in student fees, ranging from RM300 to RM800.

Meanwhile, Bernama reported Idris as saying that Malaysia was likely to become an oil importer as early as next year at the current rate it was consuming petroleum,

Malaysians continue to be among the highest fuel consumers per capita in the world fuel consumption habits pattern which generally has remained relatively unchanged despite increased oil prices in 2008.

He also said that approximately 70% of the government's liquid petroleum gas (LPG) subsidy went to commercial concerns and not the intended households.

About 30% of the cooking oil subsidy was also abused, he said.

He said the government is proposing to phase out the petrol subsidy gradually in line with its move to strategically position Malaysia's economy on a stronger footing to realise the aspirations of Vision 2020, which is to achieve a developed, high-income nation status.

"Subsidies are an inaccurate representation of trade," Idris said when officiating the Subsidy Lab Open Day here to receive feedback from the public on subsidies.

"In addition, they pose a fiscal burden that emerging economies such as Malaysia should move away from. As such, we desperately need an exit strategy for subsidies, as they are unsustainable," he said.

"In order to save the country, we need to increase our GDP, Malaysians need to be aware we are giving the highest subsidies - 4.6 per cent of GDP even higher than Indonesia (2.7 per cent) & Philippines (0.2 per cent)," said Idris, who is also the Chief Executive Officer of the Performance Management and Delivery Unit (PEMANDU).

Malaysia is one of the most subsidised nations in the world. Its total subsidy of RM74 billion in 2009 is equivalent to RM12,900 per household.

This covers the areas of Social (RM42.8bil), Fuel (RM23.5bil), Infrastructure (RM4.6bil) and Food amounting to RM3.1bil.

"All savings to reduce these savings are intended to reduce our deficit and debt of RM103bil in five years," he said.

Meanwhile, studies by Bank Negara have shown that inflation will rise to four per cent (2011-2012) and three per cent post 2013.

Subsidies only result in market distortion and they drain the government of much needed funds that could be better used for more strategic and pressing development projects for the rakyat, Idris said.

"The time for subsidy rationalisation is now," he said.

"We are reviewing the possibility of introducing a floating price mechanism, mitigation measures and assistance needed to put in place."

"We do not want to end up like Greece with a total debt of EUR300 billion. Our deficit rose to record high of RM47 billion last year."

"If the government continues at the rate of 12 per cent per annum, Malaysia could go bankrupt in 2019 with total debts amounting to RM1,158 billion," he cautioned.

Monday, May 24, 2010

Malaysians consume more fuel

PETALING JAYA: Malaysians are one of the highest fuel consumers in the region where even price increases have not deterred motorists.

Since 2004, they have consumed more than 400 litres per capita annually, which is much more than Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, China and India. Singapore, which was ranked second among the list of six countries, only consumed 250 litres per capita in 2007.


India and China consumed under 50 litres per capita in 2007, according to data collated from the Finance Ministry, Domestic Trade, Cooperatives and Consumerism Ministry, International Energy Agency and Global Insight.

Even with fuel prices at its highest in mid-2008, when petrol was at RM2.70 and diesel at RM2.58 per litre, consumption still grew by 8% annually and almost 20 billion litres are expected to be consumed by the end of 2010.

As Malaysia practises a blanket subsidy on fuel, data made available to the Performance Management and Delivery Unit (Pemandu) subsidy rationalisation lab showed that 71% of fuel subsidy was enjoyed by the middle to high-income level groups.

Some 28% of those enjoying fuel subsidy earn more than RM5,000 per month, while 43% earned between RM2,500 and RM5,000.

Abuse of liquid petroleum gas (LPG), or cooking gas, has also contributed to an inflated subsidy bill. Some RM1.71bil was spent on subsidising LPG, to which only RM397mil or 30% are used by households.

It is believed that the rest of the LPG had been misused for commercial purposes or smuggled abroad.

The same issue affects cooking oil, where 70,000 tonnes are subsidised monthly but only about 70% are consumed by households.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Najib: It shows our fundamentals are strong

KUALA LUMPUR: Most Malay-sians welcome a strong currency as it reflects the country's strong economic fundamentals and a robust recovery, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak told international financiers here yesterday.

“It is a movement in a positive sense. Generally, it is good for us,” Najib said during a question-and-answer session with delegates of the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) inaugural meeting in Asia.

At the meeting themed “Asia's Role in the World Economy - the New Global Financial and Economic Order,” he was asked to comment on the ringgit's strong performance especially against the US dollar, pound and euro.

Najib, who is also Finance Minister, said a strong currency also reflected the fact that Malaysian exports had been doing very well.

The economy recorded 10.1% growth in the first quarter of this year, which was the highest quarterly growth in a decade.

The ringgit is Asia's best-performing currency this year, as foreign money has poured into domestic capital markets due to a combination of strong economic growth and rising interest rates.

Year-to-date, the ringgit has appreciated by about 6% against the US dollar, 19% against the euro and 16% compared with the pound.

In his address earlier, Najib also said the challenges that arose from the international financial crisis presented an opportunity for Asia and the West to work together to find solutions that benefited all.

“Malaysia's unfolding economic story is a part of what is taking place in Asia. While Asia is indeed diverse, we are bound together by the common desire to transform and uplift our economies individually, which in turn will reinforce the region's economic and financial integration in the New World Order,” he added.

“We are looking beyond Asean. We are also looking at how to get the United States and Russia on board. We want a stronger bridge in Europe and believe in open integration,” he added.

Najib, who briefed the delegates on the 1Malaysia concept, New Economic Model and Government Transformation Programme, said people were seeking effective governance where economic growth was inclusive and beneficial for all.

On how to survive the economic crisis, Bank Negara Governor Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz said Asia's resilience, including Malaysia's, was a result of a decade of reform.

Currency strength boosts confidence

PETALING JAYA: The stronger ringgit is bringing cheer to Malaysians eager to squeeze more from their money. In the travel industry, operators are expecting a boom in business because many will want to cash in on the chance to see the world for less.

“And with low-cost carriers offering so many destinations, people will tend to travel more at a relatively cheaper cost,” said Malaysian Association of Tour and Travel Agents (Matta) president Datuk Mohd Khalid Harun.

He recalled that when the Australian dollar was selling at a lower rate (RM2.50 to the dollar) a few years back, there was a big shift of Malaysians going there.

However, he reminded travellers always to get value for their money, because the cheapest travel need not mean the most enjoyable experience.

Writer Foong Chee Yan, 23, who will be going on a business trip to England, was happy he would be spending less during his trip.

Parents with children studying overseas are also happy with the stronger ringgit.

Peter Yoong, 49, a residential manager, said his eldest son would be leaving for his Computer Science studies in Oklahoma in August.

He expected to pay US$12,000 (RM38,700) in fees annually. In March, Yoong said the exchange rate was RM3.30 to the dollar.

“Now, the rate is at RM3.20. There is definitely some savings here,” he said.

Saturday, May 15, 2010

Ringgit set to trend higher

The ringgit is expected to trend higher against the US dollar next week on strong interest by investors to put their funds back into the currency to get better returns.

Dealers said the near-term outlook for the ringgit was bright due to steady commercial demand from Malaysian and foreign investors as the economy was performing well.

"The ringgit will move between 3.18 and 3.17 against the greenback next week," one of them said.

Investors' appetite for riskier assets might increase and this would in turn help boost the ringgit, said RHB Bank forex dealer Badeeudin Mohd Abu Bakar.

Uncertainties in the euro zone could also set the tone for the dollar, he added.

This week, the ringgit rose against the greenback and other major currencies on expectations of better growth for Malaysia and a hike in interest rates.

On Thursday, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak said the country's economy expanded by a superlative 10.1 per cent in the first quarter as against the 4.4 per cent registered in the previous quarter.

Meanwhile, Bank Negara Malaysia, at its Monetary Policy Committee on the same day, raised the Overnight Policy Rate by 25 basis points to 2.50 per cent.

The ringgit ended the week at 3.1835/1860 against the dollar compared with 3.2560/2590 a week earlier.

It also strengthened against the Singapore dollar to 2.3079/3160 from 2.3361/3416, the Japanese yen to 3.4457/4511 from 3.4716/4759, the British pound to 4.6424/6477 from 4.9009/9061 and the euro to 3.9818/9865 from 4.1582/1624. -- Bernama

Friday, May 14, 2010

Overnight policy rate raised 25 basis points to 2.50%

KUALA LUMPUR: Bank Negara has raised the country's overnight policy rate by 25 basis points or 0.25%, to 2.50%.

The move was to further normalise monetary conditions, governor Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz told a press conference here Thursday.

She said the stance of monetary policy continued to remain accommodative and supportive of economic growth.

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